The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Friday, September 18 . This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | )
5700 DK ( 11.40% of cap) / 5700 FD ( 16.29% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ: Overall | 36.28 | K | 1 |
| PlateIQ: Strikeout | 22.64 | BB | 31 |
| PlateIQ: Contact | 42.99 | xWOBA | 12 |
| PlateIQ: Production | 30.95 | xISO | 53 |
| PlateIQ: Discipline | 46.37 | Hard Hit | 41 |
| PlateIQ: Context | 51.65 | xERA | 12 |
PlateIQ Rating is a matchup score. 50 is average. See what’s baked in with PlateIQ Premium.
MLB DFS Stats and Pitch Arsenal
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Pitch Type | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6.00 | 4-Seamer | 45 |
| SIERA | 5.77 | Sinker | 17 |
| K% | 11.40% | Cutter | 23 |
| BB% | 10.30% | Slider | 0 |
| GB/FB | 1.95 | Changeup | 7 |
| HR/9 | 1.48 | Curve | 8 |
| Hard% | 36.40% | Splitter | 0 |
See More Stats Made Simple for WAS vs. MIA : Try PlateIQ Premium
is a dumpster fire, but he gets to pitch in Marlins Park, so he isn’t completely out of play for a three-game slate at SP2 where we get points for what can be a six-inning CG. He’s just so bad on every level—low Ks, high walks, average barrel rate.
Quick Breakdown — Despite the ballpark, still not a top-three pitcher on the slate, he’s so bad.
MLB DFS Analysis: (RHP | )
7800 DK ( 15.60% of cap) / 10100 FD ( 28.86% of cap) / Y ( 0.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Statcast Metrics | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ: Overall | 62.48 | K | NA |
| PlateIQ: Strikeout | 61.73 | BB | NA |
| PlateIQ: Contact | 52.31 | xWOBA | NA |
| PlateIQ: Production | 66.57 | xISO | NA |
| PlateIQ: Discipline | 63.27 | Hard Hit | NA |
| PlateIQ: Context | 51.72 | xERA | NA |
PlateIQ Rating is a matchup score. 50 is average. See what’s baked in with PlateIQ Premium.
MLB DFS Stats and Pitch Arsenal
| PlateIQ Category | Rating | Pitch Type | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5.00 | 4-Seamer | NA |
| SIERA | 3.46 | Sinker | NA |
| K% | 24.20% | Cutter | NA |
| BB% | 4.20% | Slider | NA |
| GB/FB | 2.27 | Changeup | NA |
| HR/9 | 0.84 | Curve | NA |
| Hard% | 31.00% | Splitter | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for WAS vs. MIA : Try PlateIQ Premium
The ace of this slate is and it isn’t even close. He can get a K per inning, is control is already elite, and his barrel rate is only 6%. Add the huge ballpark bump, a good matchup, and the seven-inning CGSO upside and we just plug him in, ownership be damned.
Quick Breakdown — Don’t overthink. We just play him.
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Washington Nationals Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | Y Salary | wOBA | ISO | Hard% | Barrels/PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 | 2400 | NA | 0.308 | 0.147 | 7.50% | 1.00% | |
| 5400 | 4200 | NA | 0.373 | 0.213 | 15.80% | 9.10% | |
| 5600 | 4500 | NA | 0.408 | 0.284 | 22.10% | 16.30% | |
| 4200 | 2900 | NA | 0.325 | 0.186 | 15.70% | 5.40% | |
| 3100 | 2400 | NA | 0.338 | 0.228 | 12.90% | 5.30% | |
| 4200 | 2800 | NA | 0.305 | 0.172 | 16.70% | 5.90% | |
| 2300 | 2100 | NA | 0.317 | 0.095 | 6.50% | 2.00% | |
| Luis Garcia | 3300 | 2300 | NA | NA | NA | 15.10% | 6.80% |
| Yadiel Hernandez | 2300 | 2000 | NA | NA | NA | 6.30% | 0.00% |
Break down every WAS vs. MIA hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
Well, we’re playing Sanchez, so we play no Nats. Even if we’re getting cute and playing Eflin on FD or something, we’re still playing no Nats in this ballpark against a guy who’s never had a home run problem.
Optimal Plays — None
Secondary Plays — None
Stackability — RED
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: Miami Marlins Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | Y Salary | wOBA | ISO | Hard% | Barrels/PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3800 | 2700 | NA | 0.343 | 0.221 | 11.20% | 4.80% | |
| 4800 | 3500 | NA | 0.352 | 0.195 | 12.30% | 6.50% | |
| 3500 | 3400 | NA | 0.319 | 0.163 | 14.20% | 6.60% | |
| 2100 | 2500 | NA | 0.353 | 0.136 | 8.40% | 4.50% | |
| Brian Anderson | 4300 | 3000 | NA | 0.344 | 0.198 | 11.60% | 7.90% |
| 3400 | 3000 | NA | 0.341 | 0.175 | 17.20% | 11.70% | |
| 3900 | 3500 | NA | 0.326 | 0.114 | 16.20% | 1.40% | |
| 3400 | 2200 | NA | NA | NA | 11.10% | 7.70% | |
| 2900 | 2500 | NA | 0.31 | 0.16 | 14.30% | 8.70% |
Break down every WAS vs. MIA hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
Stacking in this ballpark is a nightmare. As bad as Fedde is, this is the second-worst stack on the slate, behind even the Pirates.
Optimal Plays — None
Secondary Plays — None
Stackability — RED
Statcast Data referenced above per baseballsavant.com
